Forecasters increase Biden probability of victory by 3 percentage points after debate
A number of political forecasters reported on Wednesday that the Democratic presidential candidate had become more likely Joe bidenJoe BidenBiden administration still seizes land near border despite plans to stop building a wall: Olympics report, climate on Biden meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Boehner on Afghanistan: “ It’s time to withdraw the troops ” would conquer President TrumpDonald Trump Biden administration continues to seize land near the border despite plans to stop building a wall: Illinois House report passes bill that would mandate Asian-American history classes in schools. “Low to medium risk” for Russia to invade Ukraine in the coming weeks | Intelligence Executives Face Sharp Questions Amid Global Threats from Home READ MORE in the next elections after the chaotic and contentious debate on Tuesday evening.
Good Judgment Inc., a global forecasting company, reported a median estimate Wednesday that Biden had a 78% chance of winning, down from 75% the day before.
The draft reported a steady increase in the likelihood of a Biden victory from its lowest point in February, when it had Biden at 37%. The probability reached as high as 82 percentage points in July.
Nate Silver’s political voting group, Five thirty-eight, also reported on Wednesday that Biden had a 78% chance of winning the Electoral College, up from 67% on Aug.31.
While neither group has named a specific catalyst for Wednesday’s percentage jumps, the new numbers come less than 24 hours after the candidates clashed in the first of three presidential debates scheduled before election day .
During the televised debate, Trump interrupted Biden, as well as the moderator Chris WallaceChristopher (Chris) Wallace McConnell seeks end to feud with Trump Trump The Hill 12:30 pm report: Biden meets bipartisan lawmakers for infrastructure negotiations Biden to meet bipartisan infrastructure lawmakers on Monday READ MORE, several times, Biden calling the president “crazy” and “clown.”
“I think the country would be better served if we allowed the two people to speak with fewer interruptions,” Wallace told Trump at one point. “I invite you, sir, to do so.”
After Trump spoke about Biden during part of the debate, Biden shook his head and said: “Do you want to shut up, man.
The next presidential debate is scheduled to take place in Miami on October 15, chaired by Steve Scully of C-SPAN.
The Presidential Debates Commission (CPD), a bipartisan body that helps plan and execute debates between presidential and vice-presidential candidates, said wednesday that he consider changing the format of future debates.
“Last night’s debate made it clear that additional structure should be added to the format of the remaining debates to ensure a more orderly discussion of the issues,” the group said in a statement. “The CPD will carefully review the changes it adopts and announce these measures shortly.”